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Bedah Laporan Keuangan JPFA
Bedah laporan keuangan JPFA diposting pada tanggal 24 januari 2020 di forum stockbit.
Link : https://stockbit.com/post/3430782
Analisa Valuasi
- EPS 2018 : 184.88
- Dengan target pertumbuhan EPS menggunakan target konvensional 15% maka didapatkan valuasi 3980
- Sehingga dengan MoS 50% maka kita akan dapatkan nilai wajar 1990.
Jika tertarik untuk mengetahui bagaimana cara perhitungan valuasi yang saya gunakan silahkan baca postingan saya yang berjudul “Menghitung Nilai Wajar ala Benjamin Graham”
Baca juga : Menghitung Nilai Wajar ala Benjamin Graham
Analisa Profitabilitas
- ROE : 22.57% menunjukkan perusahaan ini memiliki kinerja profitabilitas yang menarik. Tidak banyak perusahaan yang menghasilkan ROE >20%.
- Gross Margin : 21%
- Operating margin 11.4%
- Net profit margin 6.6%
Summary: JPFA memiliki ratio profitabilitas yang terbilang cukup baik.
Analisa Likuiditas
- DER : 1.26
- Current Ratio : 1.8
- Quick Ratio : 0.67
Summary: JPFA memiliki ratio likuiditas yang sedikit dibawah standard saya, dimana DER 1,26X (standard <1X) dan quick ratio 0,67 (standard >1X). Tetapi ini tidak terlalu jelek juga. Sehingga saya tidak memandang ada masalah berbahaya untuk ratio likuiditas dari JPFA.
Analisa Cashflow
- Arus kas secara total memiliki saldo negatif 597 miliar rupiah di tahun 2018 yang diakibatkan oleh karena perolehan asset tetap yang merupakan proses ekspansi mereka.
- Tapi untuk Cashflow Operation untungnya tetap positif 1,8 triliun rupiah di tahun 2018.
- Cash flow operation dan working capital yang positif menjadikan perusahaan ini masih kategori SAFE.
Summary: Walaupun net cashflow negatif karena adanya proses ekspansi bisnis. Tetapi cashflow operation perusahaan ini masih terbilang baik dimana positif 1,8 triliun rupiah. Sehingga saya memandang perusahaan ini tidak memiliki masalah di dalam cashflow perusahaan.
Analisa Dividen
- JPFA membagi dividen 4 tahun terakhir (based on data 2018).
- Rata – rata dividen yield per 10 tahun 2.25%.
Summary: Tidak ada yang istimewa, tapi dengan perusahaan secara 4 tahun membagikan dividen maka ini adalah suatu hal yang positif.
Kesimpulan Bedah Laporan Keuangan JPFA
- JPFA masih memiliki harga dibawah nilai wajar. Ketika penulis update tulisan ini, JPFA memiliki harga 1.010 per lembar saham.
- Dari bedah laporan keuangan JPFA, tidak ditemukan ada masalah apapun di perusahaan ini.
- Dengan nilai wajar di kisaran 1.990, artinya dengan harga saham saat ini memiliki potensi kenaikan 90%. Sesuatu yang menurut saya merupakan peluang investasi yang baik.
Rekomendasi: Dengan harga saat ini yang begitu menarik dan kinerja keuangan yang baik, maka saya merekomendasikan untuk berinvestasi di saham ini.
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